Ready for another wild Premier League weekend? Let’s dive straight into the data-driven predictions and top FPL picks for Gameweek 10. Whether you’re chasing mini-league glory or just want to beat your mates, this week’s guide is packed with practical tips, bold calls, and a few cheeky differentials.
Premier League Gameweek 10 Predictions
Brighton vs Leeds – Who Wins? (65% Confidence)
Brighton’s at home, and the numbers love them. Their attacking style and superior xG (expected goals) give them a clear edge, even with a couple of injuries. Leeds have momentum but remain shaky at the back. Prediction: Brighton win 2–1.
Burnley vs Arsenal – Gunners to Dominate? (80% Confidence)
Arsenal’s squad depth and defensive strength should be too much for struggling Burnley. Even with a few key absentees, the Gunners’ efficiency and attacking power shine through. Prediction: Arsenal win 2–0.
Crystal Palace vs Brentford – Home Advantage? (55% Confidence)
It’s a tight one, but Palace’s home crowd and slightly better form tip the scales. Brentford’s attack is missing some punch, and Palace’s defense is solid. Prediction: Palace win 2–1.
Fulham vs Wolves – Tight Relegation Clash (60% Confidence)
Both teams are fighting near the bottom, but Fulham’s home advantage and defensive edge make them favourites. Wolves’ attack has struggled all season. Prediction: Fulham win 1–0.
Nott’m Forest vs Man Utd – Away Day for United? (70% Confidence)
United’s quality and form are hard to ignore, even away from home. Forest’s defense is leaky, and United’s attack is clicking. Prediction: Man Utd win 2–0.
Tottenham vs Chelsea – London Derby Edge (55% Confidence)
A classic derby with both sides missing key players. Spurs’ home advantage and pressing style give them the narrowest of edges. Prediction: Tottenham win 2–1.
Liverpool vs Aston Villa – Goals Galore? (65% Confidence)
Expect fireworks at Anfield. Liverpool’s attack is strong, but Villa can hit on the counter. Liverpool’s home form and xG edge it. Prediction: Liverpool win 3–2.
West Ham vs Newcastle – Magpies to Bounce Back? (65% Confidence)
Newcastle’s stats and squad quality point to an away win, even with some fatigue. West Ham have struggled for goals and confidence. Prediction: Newcastle win 2–1.
Man City vs Bournemouth – Heavy Home Favourites (80% Confidence)
City at the Etihad is as close as it gets to a sure thing. Bournemouth have overperformed but are missing key strikers. Prediction: Man City win 3–1.
Sunderland vs Everton – Monday Night Wildcard (55% Confidence)
Sunderland’s home form and confidence give them a slight edge, but Everton’s experience could make this close. Prediction: Sunderland win 2–1.
Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Standouts for GW10
Captain Picks – Why Haaland is a Must
Erling Haaland is the standout captain. He’s got elite stats, a juicy home fixture, and the highest ceiling. If you want to play it safe, stick the armband on Haaland.
Alternate: Salah is always an option, but Villa’s form makes him a riskier pick.
Anchor Picks – Reliable Defenders & Midfielders
- Gabriel Magalhães (ARS): Arsenal’s defensive rock, on a clean sheet run, and a bonus magnet.
- Bryan Mbeumo (BRE): Consistent returns, shots galore, and on penalties.
Bargain Buys – Top Value for Your Budget
- Marc Guéhi (CRY): Cheap, attacking threat, and strong clean sheet odds.
- Nordi Mukiele (SUN): Budget enabler from a solid defense.
Differentials – Low-Owned Gems to Climb the Ranks
- Jean-Philippe Mateta (CRY): Under 5% owned, high shot volume, and a great fixture.
- Igor Thiago (BRE): In form and flying under the radar.
Goalkeeper Picks – Who Gets the Clean Sheet?
- Bernd Leno (FUL): Home to Wolves, save magnet, and high floor.
- David Raya (ARS): Clean sheet odds are strong if he starts.
Your FPL Questions Answered (FAQ/How-To Schema)
Who should I captain for GW10?
Haaland is the clear choice. If you’re feeling bold, try Mateta or Salah for a differential.
What are the best FPL bargains this week?
Guéhi and Mukiele offer strong value for defenders. Thiago is the pick up front.
How do I choose differentials?
Look for low-ownership players with high underlying stats and a good fixture. Mateta and Thiago fit the bill this week.
Should I trust the models or my gut?
Use the models for a baseline, but don’t ignore your instincts—sometimes a hunch pays off!
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Sources:
- Fantasy Football Scout (Scout Picks & Team News)
- FantasyFootballFix (Welbeck vs Thiago)
- Transfermarkt (Premier League Overview)
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