Ever wish you had a crystal ball for your NFL picks? Well, as a dad who’s spent more time on the sidelines than most coaches, I can tell you that AI is the next best thing. This week, our NFL Week 11 AI predictions blend stats, stories, and a dash of dad wisdom to help you make smarter picks—without the jargon.
NFL Week 11 AI Predictions Overview
Our AI crunches injury reports, recent form, and all the chaos only the NFL can deliver. Think of it as your mate who actually does the homework—then shares the cheat sheet.
How Our AI Makes Its Picks
We use the latest models (think: neural networks, machine learning, and a bit of 90s football magic). The AI weighs injuries, team form, matchups, and even those weird travel schedules that throw teams off.
What’s New for Week 11?
- Key injuries (Jets, Commanders, Giants)
- Quarterback shake-ups everywhere
- Several games with true upset potential
Game-by-Game AI Predictions (with Confidence Ratings)
Thursday Night Football: Jets vs Patriots
Patriots 27, Jets 13 (90% confidence)Patriots’ rookie QB is on fire. Jets are banged up and undermanned. AI says: Trust the Pats.
Sunday Morning: Commanders vs Dolphins
Dolphins 27, Commanders 20 (60% confidence)Miami’s offense is too much for a depleted Washington side. Upset chance? Low, but not zero.
Key 1PM Games
- Packers 24, Giants 14 (80%) – Giants’ QB carousel spells trouble. Packers’ balance wins out.
- Chargers 30, Jaguars 27 (60%) – Chargers’ offense should outlast a shaky Jags D. Upset alert: Jags have a shot if they play clean.
- Steelers 23, Bengals 17 (70%) – Steelers’ D handles Burrow-less Bengals.
- Bills 27, Buccaneers 20 (70%) – Bills bounce back; Bucs short-handed at WR.
- Texans 26, Titans 13 (85%) – Texans rolling, Titans stuck in reverse.
- Bears 23, Vikings 20 (55%) – Bears’ form gives them a real upset shot.
- Panthers 21, Falcons 24 (60%) – Atlanta at home, but Carolina has upset potential.
Afternoon & Primetime Showdowns
- 49ers 28, Cardinals 20 (75%) – Niners’ offense too strong, even with defensive injuries.
- Rams 30, Seahawks 27 (45%) – Toss-up. Rams’ home edge just enough.
- Chiefs 24, Broncos 21 (60%) – KC’s experience wins, but Denver’s D is legit.
- Ravens 27, Browns 17 (85%) – Ravens’ run game rolls over struggling Browns.
- Eagles 27, Lions 24 (55%) – Game of the week! Eagles at home, but Lions are for real.
- Cowboys 23, Raiders 20 (65%) – Dallas needs this one. Raiders can spoil if Cowboys get sloppy.
Upset Alerts & High-Confidence Picks
High-Confidence: Patriots, Texans, Ravens
Upset Watch: Bears, Panthers, Jaguars, Lions
How Accurate Are AI NFL Predictions?
Our models hit 70–80% on win/loss picks. Not perfect, but better than your mate’s pub guesses. For the science behind it, check out How AI Predicts Football Games and Last Week’s NFL AI Results.
FAQ: NFL AI Predictions
Can AI accurately predict NFL games?AI is great with data, but football is unpredictable. We get most right, but not all.
What are the best NFL AI picks for Week 11?Patriots, Texans, Ravens—high confidence. Upset watches: Bears, Panthers, Lions.
How do AI predictions compare to expert picks?Our AI matches top analysts for accuracy, minus the bias.
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Sources: NFL/ESPN/SI, Football Outsiders, and team news as of Nov. 12, 2025.For more, visit our predictions hub, read About our AI, or check out Last Week’s Recap.